Sudanese army may soon reclaim control of Khartoum

SAF has made significant progress the last months
Since the liberation of Wad-Madani in central Sudan, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) have collapsed and are on the brink of losing the capital. A year ago, the RSF, a paramilitary militia from Darfur, took control of Wad Madani and the fertile Jezira region, encircling Sennar and reaching the Ethiopian border in June.
Since then, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) has launched numerous counter-offensives, lifting the siege of Sennar, liberating Singa, and retaking Wad Madani while advancing towards Bahri, north of Khartoum. In the past six months, significant progress has been made, and all Sudanese army forces are now converging on the capital from six directions: Omdurman, Shendi/Bahri, Qedarif, Damazin, Sennar, and Kosti.
As the army advances rapidly, the RSF find themselves isolated with only one usable bridge to retreat to Darfur, the Jebel Aulia Bridge. The capture of Soba East by the SAF means there is only one bridge left for exiting Bahri.

Difference in combat strengths
To understand the rise of the Sudanese army, it is essential to grasp its combat doctrine. Inherited from the Al Bashir regime, the army is a heavy force positioned in urban strongholds to defend them. Meanwhile, the RSF, being mobile, were employed to combat in open terrain, particularly against rebellions in Darfur and Kordofan. This dichotomy led to the defeats of 2023 in the western part of the country. As a result, the RSF found themselves surrounded in their bases in Khartoum and most cities in Darfur and Kordofan.
After taking control of the countryside, the RSF launched mobile forces to assault each base. While Nyala, Kas, Zalingei, El Geneina, Ed Dueim, Adiela, Muglad, and Al Fao have fallen, El Fasher (Darfur), Babanusa, Dilling, Kadugli, Talodi, El Obeid, and El Nahud (Kordofan) remain under RSF siege. The army avoids attempting sorties, but some major garrisons in the east and south have not faced RSF attacks.
In Dongola, Merowe, Port Sudan, Kassala, Qedarif, Damazin, Sennar, Kosti/Rabak, and several other cities, a powerful army has formed. Several armed groups, ethnicities, and former rebels, including the JEM (Justice and Equality Movement), SLA (Sudan Liberation Army), and the Darfur Joint Forces, have joined the army recently, bolstering its numbers.

SAF prepare to enter Khartoum
The Sudanese army is advancing on both sides of the Blue Nile and preparing to enter southern Khartoum. While it remains uncertain whether the RSF will retreat, only one bridge remains in the capital's southwest, a critical factor in their next move.
Along the way, jubilant crowds celebrate their liberation. The RSF's occupation was marked by brutality and violence, fueled in part by resentment from Arab tribes toward the "affluent" populations and elites along the Nile. Additionally, army airstrikes claimed many civilian lives, particularly in occupied cities.
Recapturing the fertile agricultural lands of "Jezira Sheme" at the Niles' confluence could help alleviate famine. While the army’s arrival in southern Khartoum may take weeks, the RSF faces the risk of being encircled with only one remaining escape route.