Somalia, Ethiopia, Tanzania - 26 okt. 2026 Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia, Sudan, Egypt - 18 okt. 2026 Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension

Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger - 13 okt. 2026 Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel

Mali, Niger, Algeria - 9 okt. 2026 Mali: The Return to Kidal

Republic of the Congo - 29 sep. 2026 Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute

Gabon, Uganda - 29 sep. 2026 Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow

Somalia, Ethiopia, Tanzania - 26 okt. 2026 Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia, Sudan, Egypt - 18 okt. 2026 Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension

Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger - 13 okt. 2026 Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel

Mali, Niger, Algeria - 9 okt. 2026 Mali: The Return to Kidal

Republic of the Congo - 29 sep. 2026 Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute

Gabon, Uganda - 29 sep. 2026 Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow

Updates

Stay informed about the latest security developments across Africa. Our Updates provide key news on events shaping the continent's security landscape.

Filter by

Somalia, Ethiopia, Tanzania 26 okt. 2026 09:22

Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis

ASA has become aware of claims circulating on Somali-language Facebook pages alleging that ASA prepared a three-page intelligence report concerning the killing of Cabdiqani Axmed Dihaal, also known as Dul-Qarnayn, following an attack in Widhwidh on 12 July 2024.

Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia, Sudan, Egypt 18 okt. 2026 19:20

Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension

Ethiopia is in the early stages of what may become its most dangerous security crisis since the 2020–2022 Tigray war. In late September, the TPLF announced a "defensive war" alongside six other armed groups under the banner of the Alliance for Survival coalition, seeking the removal of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.

Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger 13 okt. 2026 10:04

Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel

Renewed fighting between JNIM and ISSP around Tessit in eastern Mali and Oudalan province in northern Burkina Faso signals a potentially significant escalation in the struggle for control of the tri-border region.

Mali, Niger, Algeria 9 okt. 2026 17:02

Mali: The Return to Kidal

On the afternoon of 6 Oct 2026, a column of Malian Armed Forces (FAMa), Africa Corps personnel and fighters of the pro-government Tuareg movements GATIA and MSA entered Kidal without firing a shot.

Republic of the Congo 29 sep. 2026 19:06

Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute

Gerald Group, a US-based metals trading and mining group, has regained control of the Soremi copper and zinc operation in M’Fouati, in the Republic of Congo, following a prolonged ownership dispute with China National Gold Group (CNG).

Gabon, Uganda 29 sep. 2026 18:56

Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow

The third Russia–Africa Summit is scheduled for Moscow on 28–29 Oct 2026. It will take place in a deteriorating security environment, marked by repeated long-range drone attacks against Moscow and other strategic locations in Russia.

Mali 19 sep. 2026 19:56

Mali the Fall of Dioura and the Threat to Sevare

JNIM overran the Malian Armed Forces (FAMa) camp at Dioura on 10 September 2026. Reporting published by AFP on 18 September, citing military, security and local sources, put the death toll at, at least 100 Malian soldiers and five Russian Africa Corps personnel.

Mali 19 sep. 2026 09:42

EARLY WARNING Mali: Unconfirmed attack on Bamako’s northeastern approach

Reports circulating on local security monitoring accounts during the evening of 18 September indicate that an armed attack may have occurred near the Kasséla toll post, approximately 36 km northeast of Bamako.

REQUEST FOR INTEREST

How can we help you de-risk Africa?

Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.

Your email adress

Area(s) of Interest?

Region(s) of Interest in Africa

Do you represent an organization / Company

Security classification preference

Budget range

How would you prefer to be contacted by us?

Other information you would like to add?

No commitment
Your information is handled securely and never shared
We respond within within 24 hours

African Security Analysis

Informed today.

Prepared tomorrow.

ASA Situation Reports™

Latest report

Explore All

REQUEST FOR INTEREST

How can we help you de-risk Africa?

Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.

Your email adress

Area(s) of Interest?

Region(s) of Interest in Africa

Do you represent an organization / Company

Security classification preference

Budget range

How would you prefer to be contacted by us?

Other information you would like to add?

No commitment
Your information is handled securely and never shared
We respond within within 24 hours

African Security Analysis

Informed today.

Prepared tomorrow.

Updates

Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis

Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension

Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel

Mali: The Return to Kidal

Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute

Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow

Mali the Fall of Dioura and the Threat to Sevare

EARLY WARNING Mali: Unconfirmed attack on Bamako’s northeastern approach

How can we help you de-risk Africa?

African Security Analysis

ASA Situation Reports™

How can we help you de-risk Africa?

African Security Analysis

Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis

Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension

Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel

Mali: The Return to Kidal

Gerald Group Regains Control of Soremi After Prolonged China National Gold Dispute

Russia–Africa Summit: Drone Threat and Operational Exposure in Moscow

Mali the Fall of Dioura and the Threat to Sevare

EARLY WARNING Mali: Unconfirmed attack on Bamako’s northeastern approach

Yemen Conflict Update: Houthi Coastal Offensive Reshapes the Red Sea Military Balance

After Windhoek+25: Can the Swakopmund Process Turn a Quarter-Century of WPS Declarations into Accountable Delivery?

Sudan: Sanctions Renewal Meets a Drone War

Sudan: The Consolidation of Partition

The Central Sahel

Ministerial Session on Countering Terrorism and Violent Extremism: Policy Coherence in a Deteriorating Threat Environment

Anéfis Military Base Incident – Northern Mali

Electoral Governance Report: January–June 2026 in Review

The Situation in Abyei: Deteriorating Security, Diplomatic Obstruction, and the Limits of PSC Authority

The Accra III Forum on Unconstitutional Changes of Government: Youth Inclusion and the Failure of Continental Norms

Uganda's PSC Chairpersonship: Institutional Context and Programme Architecture

The AU Early Warning Trigger Mechanism: Bridging the Intelligence-Action Gap

Benin: Wadagni Opens a Strategic Reset with the Sahel Juntas

Burkina Faso: Arrest of Influential Imam Exposes Regime Sensitivity to Religious Authority

ADF/ISCAP Expansion into Haut-Uélé — Strategic Mutation, Security Vulnerabilities and Regional Counter-Terrorism Requirements

Benin: Northern Attacks, Fuel Pressure, and Regional Security Cooperation Define the Incoming Government’s Stability Challenge

Mali: Humanitarian Flight Suspension and Expanding Extremist Pressure Signal a Deteriorating National Security Environment

Mauritania/Mali: Border Incursions Expose Rising Friction Along a Volatile Sahel Frontier

Guinea: Announced Extremist Arrests Highlight Transit, Recruitment, and Radicalisation Risks in Upper Guinea

Burkina Faso: Coup Rumours Expose a Sensitive Information Environment as Insurgent Pressure Persists

Niger: Tahoua Airport Attack Signals Expanding Pressure on Niger’s Security Architecture

Border Disputes Drive Renewed Mano River Tensions

Nigeria: Death of Brigadier-General O.O. Braimoh – Operational Failure, ISWAP Escalation, and Structural Vulnerabilities in the North-East Insurgency

Kenya Fuel Crisis: Cartel Exploitation Transforms External Supply Shock into Domestic Governance Failure

African Energy Summit Boycott: Ghana Signals Strategic Pushback Against External Control of African Energy Policy

Russia’s Travel Warning on Morocco: Legal Risk Narrative Signals Broader Geopolitical Friction

Escalation in Ransom-Based Kidnapping by Boko Haram Signals Structural Shift in Insurgent Financing

Drone Warfare Escalation and Systemic Collapse of Civilian Infrastructure

JNIM Multi-Axis Offensive and Consolidation of Rural Dominance

Aviation System Under Shock — Jet Fuel Crisis and the Strait of Hormuz Dependency Trap

Chad–Sudan Border Crisis: Drone Strike in Tiné and the Structural Spillover of the Sudan Conflict into Eastern Chad

Strategic Outlook: Operational Intelligence and Early Warning Capabilities Provided by ASA

Eastern DRC Conflict Dynamics and International Diplomatic Pressure: UNSC Consultations, Escalating Drone Warfare, and Renewed US Mediation Efforts

Field Security Update Eastern DRC: Destruction of Suspected ADF/ISCAP Command and Logistics Camp – Mambasa Sector

U.S. Sanctions on Rwanda Signal Strategic Rupture but Fail to Alter Battlefield Dynamics

Coordinated Attack on Tahoua Airport and Air Base 401 Targets Niger’s Drone Surveillance Capability

Ramaphosa Escalates Iran Naval Probe: Civil–Military Authority Under Greater Strategic Pressure

Gunfire Near the Presidential Palace in Ouagadougou

CRITICAL UPDATE: Security Incident at Upemba National Park

STRATEGIC WARNING NOTICE: Security Incident – Lusinga, Upemba National Park Headquarters, Haut-Katanga, DRC

The Iran Conflict and the Strategic Repositioning of African Oil Producers

Sudan Rejects U.S.-Backed Ceasefire Framework as War Enters Protracted Phase

Guinea–Sierra Leone Border Incident in Faranah

Gulf of Guinea: Ghana Escalates Maritime Dispute with Togo to International Tribunal

RSF Capture of Al-Tina Escalates Darfur Control and Triggers Chad Border Closure

Emergence of the “NFSL” Self-Defence Group Triggers Constitutional Alarm and Parliamentary Scrutiny in Liberia

France–Algeria Security Reset

Sudan Conflict Update

Guinea’s New Government and the Structural Test of Mining-Led Expansion

South Africa Signs CAEPA With China and Accedes to AfrEximBank

Gulf of Guinea Gas Integration Accelerates

West Africa Trade Corridors Under Fire

Early Warning: Kisangani and the Northern Corridor

Renewed Fighting in Tigray Signals the Fragility of the Post-Pretoria Order

Strategic Interdiction of Fuel Supply Lines and Hostage Leverage by JNIM

Niamey Airport Attack: Islamic State Claims Responsibility

United States–Africa: Washington Prepares a Strategic Summit on Critical Minerals

DRC–Egypt Defence Axis: Kinshasa Deepens Strategic Military Partnerships Amid Accelerating Security Pressures