
Goma–Gisenyi Border Goes 24/7, Signalling Power Shifts
Rwandan authorities and the AFC/M23-run administration in Goma will restore around-the-clock crossings at the Goma–Gisenyi frontier. Closed outright when M23 seized Goma on January 27, the border later reopened with limited hours—first until 15:00, then 18:00, but never operated overnight until now.
This decision reflects Kigali’s confidence in AFC/ M23’s grip on Goma and marks a de facto partnership: joint customs protocols, coordinated security patrols and shared health inspections imply that Rwandan agencies recognize the rebel administration as a local authority. Economically, full access should relieve traders, commuters and aid convoys of persistent bottlenecks, stabilizing supplies of perishables, fuel and essential goods on both sides of Lake Kivu.
Politically, however, direct engagement with AFC/M23 threatens to erode Kinshasa’s sovereignty and sets a precedent for other non-state actors in eastern DRC to negotiate independently with neighbouring capitals—further fragmenting central authority. Simultaneously, former President Joseph Kabila has held consultations in Bukavu to gauge local viewpoints on stabilization. According to on-the-ground information gathered by African Security Analysis, Belgium sought talks with him to harmonize positions on eastern DRC, but Kabila has remained unavailable—underscoring the fragmented authority in Kinshasa.
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Field Security Update Eastern DRC: Destruction of Suspected ADF/ISCAP Command and Logistics Camp – Mambasa Sector
Joint FARDC–UPDF operations conducted on 22 February 2026 reportedly led to the destruction of a strategically significant camp assessed to have been linked to the leadership and logistics structure of the Allied Democratic Forces / Islamic State Central Africa Province (ADF/ISCAP).
U.S. Sanctions on Rwanda Signal Strategic Rupture but Fail to Alter Battlefield Dynamics
The United States’ decision to impose sanctions on Rwanda’s military leadership marks the most direct and severe diplomatic rebuke Washington has issued against Kigali in the post-genocide era. Yet despite the symbolic weight of the measures, the sanctions have not altered the operational reality on the ground in eastern DRC.
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