Potential Targets and Anti-Terrorist Operations
Islamic State supporters have identified a list of potential targets for 2025, including:
- Amsterdam Dance Event
- Cannes Film Festival
- Glastonbury Festival (United Kingdom)
- Grand Ole Opry's 100th anniversary (Nashville)
- 100th anniversary of the pony swimming event in Chincoteague, Virginia
- Vienna ball season (Austria)
- Oktoberfest (Germany)
- St. Patrick's Day (Ireland)
- San Fermin Festival (Pamplona)
- Venice Carnival (Italy)
Additionally, in Ivory Coast, a major anti-terrorist operation dismantled a terrorist network linked to a significant extremist organization in Abidjan. On July 28, 2024, six foreign individuals were arrested. These suspects were allegedly planning to infiltrate Europe and were part of a broader network extending to another region, including Madagascar. The operation was facilitated through international cooperation with intelligence services from other countries. This incident reveals a new form of threat for the region, as it marks the first time suspects from the Middle East have been reported in Ivory Coast.
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Official Clarification: False Attribution of Intelligence Report to African Security Analysis
ASA has become aware of claims circulating on Somali-language Facebook pages alleging that ASA prepared a three-page intelligence report concerning the killing of Cabdiqani Axmed Dihaal, also known as Dul-Qarnayn, following an attack in Widhwidh on 12 July 2024.
Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension
Ethiopia is in the early stages of what may become its most dangerous security crisis since the 2020–2022 Tigray war. In late September, the TPLF announced a "defensive war" alongside six other armed groups under the banner of the Alliance for Survival coalition, seeking the removal of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
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