African Security Analysis
We
de-risk
Africa
Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.
Security Updates
Nigeria: Death of Brigadier-General O.O. Braimoh – Operational Failure, ISWAP Escalation, and Structural Vulnerabilities in the North-East Insurgency
The killing of Brigadier-General O.O. Braimoh, commander of the 29th Brigade under Operation HADIN KAI, during an ISWAP-led attack in Benisheikh, Borno State, on 9 April 2026, marks a significant operational and symbolic setback for the Nigerian military.
Kenya Fuel Crisis: Cartel Exploitation Transforms External Supply Shock into Domestic Governance Failure
Kenya’s ongoing fuel shortage, initially triggered by Hormuz-related supply disruption, has been significantly worsened by domestic cartel activity within the petroleum sector.
African Energy Summit Boycott: Ghana Signals Strategic Pushback Against External Control of African Energy Policy
Ghana has officially withdrawn from the African Energy Summit scheduled in London from 12–14 May 2026, joining Mozambique and other African producers in an expanding boycott.
Russia’s Travel Warning on Morocco: Legal Risk Narrative Signals Broader Geopolitical Friction
Russia has issued an official warning advising its citizens against travel to Morocco, citing the risk of arrest and possible extradition to the United States.
Our Offers
ASA Situation Reports™
Hormuz Disruption and Red Sea Escalation – Africa’s Deepening Economic and Security Crisis
The confrontation between the United States and Iran has moved beyond a contained regional confrontation and into a broader geopolitical crisis with direct consequences for African economies, trade systems, and maritime security exposure.
Morocco’s Apache Acquisition and ISR Expansion: Network-Centric Warfare, Strategic Alignment with the United States, and the Shift Toward Anticipatory Military Doctrine in North Africa
Morocco’s acquisition of additional AH-64E Apache Guardian attack helicopters, alongside its interest in advanced intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance platforms such as the U.S. HADES system, reflects a deeper shift in military doctrine rather than a narrow procurement cycle.
Türkiye–Somalia Offshore Energy Expansion: Deep-Sea Drilling, Maritime Security Dynamics, and Strategic Positioning in the Horn of Africa
Türkiye’s deployment of the drillship Çağrı Bey offshore Somalia marks a significant shift in the Horn of Africa’s energy and security environment. This is not simply the launch of a drilling campaign.
Nigeria–Indonesia Naval Cooperation: Maritime Domain Awareness, Defence-Industrial Alignment, and Strategic Security Reconfiguration in the Gulf of Guinea
Nigeria’s expanding naval cooperation with Indonesia marks a substantive shift in the security logic of the Gulf of Guinea. What is emerging is no longer symbolic South-South naval diplomacy, but a more structured partnership built around hydrographic intelligence, operational training, maritime surveillance, and defence-industrial cooperation.
Eastern DRC & Great Lakes Region: From Diplomatic Convergence to Managed Instability
The security environment in eastern DRC and the wider Great Lakes region is entering a phase defined by simultaneous diplomatic progress and persistent operational instability. The April 2026 negotiations in Montreux marked the most concrete procedural movement seen in recent months under the Doha-linked framework.
SADC: Maritime Security Exercises and Regional Coordination Operational Readiness, Inland Water Control, and Trade Protection
The SADC appears to be renewing its focus on multinational maritime security coordination as part of a broader effort to strengthen regional interoperability, operational readiness, and response capacity across both maritime and inland water domains.
We advise the leaders
Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.
As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.
Our clients
REQUEST FOR INTEREST
How can we help you de-risk Africa?
Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.
