SPLM-N and RSF Forge Alliance in Nairobi: Implications for Sudan's Civil War
In February 2025, a significant political development unfolded in Nairobi, Kenya, as the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N), led by Abdelaziz al-Hilu, aligned with the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) during a conference. This collaboration signals a potential intensification of Sudan's civil war, particularly in the Nuba Mountains, a region that had remained relatively peaceful since the conflict's onset in April 2023.
The conference, held at the Kenyatta International Convention Centre, saw Al-Hilu and RSF Deputy Commander-in-Chief Abdelrahim Dagalo jointly announce the formation of a 'parallel government' to rival Sudan's military-led administration based in Port Sudan. Al-Hilu emphasized the need to dismantle the existing state's violent apparatus, advocating for a new governance model rooted in equality and justice.
This burgeoning alliance between SPLM-N and RSF has raised concerns about the potential escalation of hostilities in the Nuba Mountains, an area historically plagued by conflict but relatively calm in recent times. The Sudanese government has condemned Kenya for hosting the conference, viewing it as an infringement on Sudan's sovereignty and a hostile act. In response, Kenya's foreign ministry reaffirmed its commitment to facilitating peace efforts in Sudan, citing its history of hosting Sudanese refugees and promoting dialogue.
The international community is closely monitoring these developments, apprehensive that the SPLM-N and RSF's political manoeuvring could exacerbate the ongoing civil war and destabilize the region further.
Discover More
Christmas Airstrikes in Nigeria: Counterterrorism and Geopolitical Implications
On Christmas Day 2025, the United States carried out precision air and naval strikes against Islamist militants in Sokoto State, a remote area of northwest Nigeria.
Mandate Without Unity: Somalia, Al-Shabaab, and the Security Council’s Strategic Dissonance
On 23 December, the UN Security Council is expected to renew the mandate of the AUSSOM until 31 December 2026. The decision, while procedurally routine, comes at a strategic inflection point. Somalia’s security environment remains precarious, Al-Shabaab is resurging, donor fatigue is rising, and multilateral coordination is increasingly fragile.
Contact us to find out how our security services can support you.
We operate in almost all countries in Africa, including high-risk environments, monitoring and analyze ongoing conflicts, the hotspots and the potential upcoming threats on the continent. Every day. Around the clock.