When
Location
Topic
27 mars 2025 10:14
South Sudan, Uganda
Armed conflicts, Civil Security, Civil wars, Uprisings, Maintaining order
Stamp

South Sudan First Vice President Riek Machar Arrested Amid Escalating Tensions

South Sudan's political stability has been profoundly shaken following President Salva Kiir's directive to arrest SPLM-IO leader and First Vice President Riek Machar. Hundreds of heavily armed forces loyal to President Kiir stormed Machar's residence in Juba, disarming his bodyguards and presenting an arrest warrant. Security chiefs and military officials demanded Machar's compliance, citing unspecified charges.

Embassies reducing its staff

Gunfire near Juba airport has heightened uncertainty, leaving residents on edge. In response to the deteriorating security situation, the United Kingdom has reduced its embassy staff in South Sudan, while the United States has scaled back to minimal staffing levels. Norway and Germany have also announced the closure of their offices in the country.

The arrest of Vice President Machar represents a significant breach of the Revitalized Peace Agreement, which ended the 2013-2018 civil war between forces loyal to Machar and President Kiir. Reports indicate that President Kiir's Defense Minister, Security Chief, and Chief of Army entered Machar's residence under the pretense of a meeting, only to enforce the arrest. Machar has questioned the legitimacy of the charges, emphasizing his role as the sitting First Vice President.

The SPLM-IO party has strongly condemned the arrest, describing it as a "blatant violation of the Constitution and the Revitalized Peace Agreement." In a statement, the party confirmed that Machar's bodyguards were disarmed and that efforts are underway to locate him. The party is actively working to determine his whereabouts.

Call for immediate dialogue

The United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) has called for an immediate cessation of hostilities and urged both President Kiir and Vice President Machar to engage in dialogue and issue public statements promoting peace. UNMISS has also reported clashes over the past 24 hours between forces loyal to the two leaders outside the capital, Juba. These confrontations follow weeks of rising tensions, originating from fighting in the country's northeast between government troops and a militia historically aligned with Machar's forces.

Africa Security Analysis has confirmed Machar's arrest and continues to monitor the situation closely, warning of the potential for renewed conflict in the world's youngest nation.

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DRC, Uganda, Rwanda 23 apr. 2025 11:48

Ituri Under Surveillance

Rising Security Concerns The political fragmentation in eastern DRC continues to threaten the fragile stability of Ituri. The failure of the Doha process and the breakdown of the republican pact could pave the way for a new wave of unrest in the region. On April 22, 2025, Uganda’s Chief of Defence Forces (CDF), General Muhoozi Kainerugaba, met with leaders of the Lendu militia CODECO (Cooperative for the Development of the Congo) in Entebbe. Officially, the meeting was convened to address CODECO’s attack on Ugandan military positions in Ituri, a confrontation that adds to past clashes between the group and the Ugandan People’s Defence Forces (UPDF). Key Figures and Discussions The CODECO delegation, led by Dunji Kulukpa Etienne (Vice President of the Lendu community), included political and militant representatives. On the Ugandan side, top-ranking officials participated: • General Muhoozi Kainerugaba, CDF • Lieutenant General Kayanja Muhanga, Land Forces Commander • Major General Felix Busizoori, Commander of the 4th Infantry Division • Brigadier General Oscar Munanura, Deputy Assistant Chief of Intelligence and Security Earlier in the week, CODECO leaders had already engaged with Ugandan military commanders. During the Entebbe meeting, Mr. Dunji expressed gratitude for Uganda’s reception and apologized for the Fataki clashes between CODECO and the UPDF. He claimed the militia had been influenced by external forces and emphasized that the Lendu, Balega, and Bahema communities do not view Uganda as an adversary. Dunji also highlighted Ituri’s worsening humanitarian crisis, attributing it to political divisions, while praising Uganda’s contributions in healthcare, refugee assistance, and economic aid. Uganda’s Expanding Influence in Ituri General Kainerugaba reaffirmed Uganda’s historical presence in North Kivu and Ituri, citing counter-insurgency operations dating back to the early 2000s. He urged CODECO leaders to collaborate with the UPDF in pursuit of a lasting peace. As a demonstration of goodwill, Ugandan forces provided free medical care to wounded CODECO fighters. Strategic Implications: A Larger Agenda? While Uganda frames this meeting as a step toward reconciliation, analysts at African Security Analysis suggest a deeper motive. They argue that the gathering was part of a broader effort to integrate CODECO into the militant coalition led by Thomas Lubanga, potentially setting the stage for coordinated offensives in Ituri, particularly targeting Bunia. If confirmed, this would signal a significant shift in the security landscape, with Uganda deepening its influence in Ituri under the guise of conflict resolution. The region remains under scrutiny as stakeholders assess the evolving dynamics.

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